Monday, November 3, 2008

My EV Projection, Looking Good

Earlier today, I took a stab at predicting the Electoral Vote outcome:
My own map is a blowout. I'm bullish on GA, ND, NC, IN and MO. The final EV counts on that map:

Obama: 393
McCain: 145
At the time I thought it was an optimistic projection, but analysis on Pollster.com suggests that I may have drawn the line at exactly the right spot. Based on an average which adjusts for discrepancies between polls based on the use of cell-phones in a poll's sample, they get the following results for the crucial swing states:

cpo3.PNGHere's hoping!

Update: Here's my map:

The MSNBC map widget is here.

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